 
March 3, 2008
Study Predicts Jump in Australian HIV Cases
Rates of HIV infection in two highly populated Australian states, Victoria and Queensland, are expected to jump in the next few years, new research suggests. According to Bloomberg, new infection rates in Victoria could climb by as much as 74 percent over the next seven years unless unprotected sex in Melbourne, the state’s capital, is stemmed (Bloomberg.com, 3/3).
Using a new mathematical model, researchers at the University of New South Wales also predicted that new HIV cases among gay and bisexual men in Queensland may jump by 20 percent by the year 2015. The researchers cited declining condom use in both Australian states.
“Over time, people have become much more complacent about the risk of HIV” and safer sex, said the study’s lead author, David Wilson, from the University's National Center for HIV Epidemiology and Clinical Research in Sydney. “They now perceive HIV as a manageable, lifetime chronic infection, given the improvements in HIV antiretroviral therapies.”
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